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HISTORY & PERFORMANCE

Full transparency · Real data · Updated daily

Out-of-sample backtest 1,105 matches · Oct 2025–Mar 2026 · Live tracking since April 2026

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VIP Picks Performance

Confidence ≥75% · Top-tier selections · Pro plan exclusive

78.5%

Accuracy (conf >70%)

backtest 1.105 meciuri

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Live accuracy (all time)

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This month

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~0.8 VIP picks/day · highest-confidence model output

Reference backtest · 225,000 matches · 2010–2025

⏳ Live data accumulating — shown when ≥5 real results per tier

✓ Recommended filter · Best signal quality

Confidence > 70%

~0.8 picks/day · backtest

78.5%

Confidence ≥ 65%

~1.1 picks/day · backtest

74.1%

Confidence ≥ 60%

~1.5 picks/day · backtest

66.4%

All predictions (incl. confidence <55%)

1,105 matches · Oct 2025–Mar 2026

54.6%

⚡ Low-confidence picks are published for full transparency, not recommended for betting. Recommended filter: confidence ≥65%.

* Random baseline = 33.3% · Model outperforms chance by +50%

Detailed history

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Methodology

· Model: XGBoost gradient boosting — ensemble of decision trees trained on structured football data

· Training: 225,000 matches · major European leagues · 2010–2025 · out-of-sample validation

· Features: Elo ratings · home/away venue form · rolling windows (short/medium/long term) · H2H history · xG proxies · market odds signals

· Market: 1X2 full-time result · O/U 2.5 goals · BTTS

· Value bet: Detected when model probability exceeds implied market probability — edge measured against sharp bookmaker lines

· Published picks: Only matches where model has sufficient confidence · higher-confidence picks reserved for VIP tier

· Equity curve: Fixed 1-unit stake per pick · avg odds ~2.0 · tracks live performance from April 2026

· Auto-update: Results fetched and auto-marked daily at 23:30 from official football data sources

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Statistical analysis · Not betting advice.